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Strategic convergence: Islamabad and Dhaka in a new era

December 30, 2025
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Strategic convergence: Islamabad and Dhaka in a new era
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Sixteen December has long been remembered in South Asia as a day of rupture. In 1971, it marked the separation of East Pakistan and the emergence of Bangladesh as an independent state, an event that cast a long shadow over relations between the two countries for decades. For much of that period, the bilateral relationship remained constrained by history, political sensitivities, and shifting regional alignments.

Yet more than half a century later, Pakistan and Bangladesh engaged in a cautious but unmistakable diplomatic reset, one that suggests both countries are reassessing the weight of the past in light of present-day strategic realities.

The most visible expression of this shift came earlier this year, when Pakistan and Bangladesh broke a diplomatic silence that had endured for over a decade. High-level exchanges resumed after years of minimal contact, culminating in reciprocal visits that reactivated political, economic, and security dialogues between Islamabad and Dhaka. The visit of Pakistan’s Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar to Bangladesh, the first such engagement since 2012, signalled a conscious decision by both sides to move beyond inherited narratives and reassess their strategic interests in a rapidly shifting regional environment.

Importantly, this diplomatic thaw has continued beyond that initial breakthrough. Subsequent interactions, including visits by senior Bangladeshi military and civilian officials to Pakistan and sustained foreign office-level consultations, have reinforced the sense that the reset is not episodic but part of a broader recalibration.

What has emerged was a warming of ties and the early contours of a strategic convergence with implications for South Asia’s balance of power.

A diplomatic thaw

The reset did not occur overnight. In early 2025, a series of unprecedented official exchanges quietly laid the groundwork: senior Bangladeshi military leadership, including the army chief and navy chief, visited Pakistan — engagements unthinkable just a few years earlier. Pakistan’s foreign secretary travelled to Dhaka in April 2025, the first such visit in 15 years.

Institutional dialogues, including foreign office consultations and defence cooperation talks, were revived. These exchanges culminated in Ishaq Dar’s August visit, during which multiple memoranda of understanding were signed, covering diplomatic visas, cultural cooperation, training of civil servants, and media collaboration. Discussions on restoring direct air links and shipping routes, frozen for decades, further underscored the seriousness of intent.

Crucially, Dar’s engagements were not limited to the interim government. He met leaders across Bangladesh’s political spectrum, including opposition figures and student leaders, signalling Pakistan’s desire to de-politicise bilateral ties and anchor them institutionally rather than ideologically.

Economic and strategic re-engagement

Parallel to diplomatic outreach, economic cooperation has gained momentum. In early 2025, Bangladesh imported rice directly from Pakistan for the first time since independence, a symbolic yet substantive step that demonstrated confidence-building at the state level. Talks are underway to revive the Joint Economic Commission, dormant for years, while trade, pharmaceuticals, textiles, IT, and agricultural cooperation have emerged as priority sectors.

Defence cooperation has also re-entered the bilateral agenda. Bangladesh has expressed interest in joint training, military exchanges, and defence procurement, including Pakistani-manufactured platforms. Pakistan’s performance during the 7th May regional escalation with India, where it demonstrated technological and operational readiness, appears to have reinforced Islamabad’s credibility as a defence partner in Dhaka’s strategic calculus.

This growing defence dialogue reflects Bangladesh’s broader effort to diversify security partnerships and reduce overdependence on any single regional actor.

The political context: why now?

The diplomatic opening cannot be understood without acknowledging the political transition in Bangladesh following the departure of Sheikh Hasina Wajid as a result of a popular movement against her government. Her long tenure had been marked by a strongly India-centric foreign policy, in which relations with Pakistan were constrained by historical grievances and domestic political considerations.

The interim government led by Muhammad Yunus has adopted a markedly different approach, one that prioritises strategic autonomy, economic pragmatism, and regional balance. Rather than assigning a dominant place to a single partner in Bangladesh’s foreign policy, Dhaka has sought to widen its diplomatic space by strengthening ties with China, Pakistan, the Muslim world, and Western capitals simultaneously.

This shift has also been driven by public sentiment. Many Bangladeshis perceived India’s response to the political upheaval, including hosting Sheikh Hasina, as intrusive, reinforcing calls for a more independent foreign policy posture.

Regional repercussions

The Pakistan–Bangladesh reset has not gone unnoticed in New Delhi. For India, Bangladesh has long been a cornerstone of its eastern strategy; any erosion of that exclusivity inevitably raises concerns. The deepening engagement between Pakistan, Bangladesh, and China, including trilateral discussions on connectivity and development, suggests a gradual rebalancing rather than outright alignment.

Bangladesh has been careful to frame its outreach as non-confrontational, maintaining diplomatic civility with India while refusing to subordinate its foreign policy choices. Pakistan, for its part, has pursued a calibrated approach, emphasising trade, culture, and people-to-people ties rather than overt security blocs.

Yet strategically, the implications are clear: South Asia is becoming more multipolar, and Pakistan has leveraged diplomatic dexterity to expand its strategic space at a moment when regional equations are in flux.

A calculated reset with long-term potential

What distinguishes the current phase of Pakistan–Bangladesh relations from earlier attempts at rapprochement is intentionality. Both sides appear committed to institutionalising cooperation rather than relying on personalities or transient political alignments.

By breaking a decade-long diplomatic impasse, Islamabad and Dhaka have signalled that history, while acknowledged, will no longer dictate the future. If sustained, this reset could enhance regional connectivity between South and Southeast Asia, expand economic and defence cooperation, reduce zero-sum alignments in South Asia, and strengthen Pakistan’s diplomatic positioning beyond its western and northern frontiers.

Viewed in this broader perspective, the reset with Bangladesh represents a tangible demonstration of Pakistan’s ability to turn historical estrangement into constructive engagement. By re-establishing meaningful ties with a country that once seceded from its territory, Islamabad has shown patience, strategic foresight, and skill in navigating sensitive legacies. In a region often defined by entrenched rivalries and zero-sum thinking, Pakistan’s outreach to Dhaka highlights a pragmatic approach that balances reconciliation, economic opportunity, and regional influence. If sustained, this strategy not only consolidates bilateral cooperation but also reinforces Pakistan’s credibility as a capable and adaptive actor in South Asia’s complex diplomatic landscape.

Rana Mashood Ahmad Khan

Chairman Prime Minister’s Youth Programme, Vice President PMLN Punjab, Former Minister School & Higher Education, Sports & Youth, Law & Parliamentary Affairs, Archaeology & Tourism and Deputy Speaker Punjab Assembly.

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Horizon started in August 2020 as a newsletter of the Research and Policy Planning Unit of Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N), Punjab, under the leadership of Punjab’s former Minister of Education Rana Mashhood Ahmad Khan. Today it has transformed into a full-fledged monthly magazine, bringing research and analyses on the most pressing issues facing Pakistan to its audience.

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